Wednesday, October 13, 2010

QE2 & Bigger Fool Theory:

Asset prices around the world r moving north because of Quantitative easing.
Desperately ill patients are willing to try drugs that have not been shown to be either effective or safe. Even dodgy medicines look better than the alternative. As countries’ financial systems remain immobile in the face of standard monetary policy treatment, more are turning to “quantitative easing” as a therapy of last resort. The US Federal Reserve is already trying it out. The Bank of England is likely to follow. The European Central Bank probably won’t, because it isn't sure the politicians would back it.
Quantitative easing is the modern way to print money. The central bank doesn’t actually have to use a four-colour press to spew out crisp notes. There are more sophisticated ways to boost a nation’s money supply. But ultimately the impact is not very different from dropping dollar bills from a helicopter as Ben Bernanke once described this policy before he became the Federal Reserve’s chairman.
Greater Fool Theory
The idea that there is always a buyer for a security who will pay a better price than the seller paid. That is, the greater fool theory states that if an investor buys a security at a high price, he/she will be able to find a buyer who will pay an even higher price. The origin of the theory's name comes from the idea that if an investor makes a foolish decision to buy an expensive security, he/she can find a greater fool to take it off his/her hands. The greater fool theory is important to the formation and continuation of speculative bubbles, and only works until the bubble bursts.
Play this Bull Run till the music is ON .
Atul Sikrai
Sr Vice President & Head -Equity
wiTdom investment advisory.

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